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Early MITB Odds Suggests Corbin Victory

Paddy Power has revealed its odds for Sunday’s Money in the Bank pay-per-view, which if correct suggest SmackDown Live is going in an interesting – though not exactly appealing – direction.

The WWE Championship odds see Jinder Mahal as the favourite to retain at 2/5 (ahead of Orton at 7/4), which seems almost a certainty with MITB taking place in Orton’s hometown. WWE did not put the title on Mahal for him to be a short-term champion, and as they have not yet achieved the business goals behind the decision to put the belt on him, there is no reason for him to lose here. Mahal is being primed for a showdown with the returning John Cena, he will walk out of MITB with the gold.

Paddy Power has Baron Corbin (1/2) as the clear favourite in the men’s Money in the Bank ladder match, which seems like a horrible idea. Corbin has not shown anything like the sort of personality or consistency in performance to be given such a push. However, WWE are clearly behind him and a program with John Cena has long been mooted. We expect Corbin to win this then eventually dethrone Cena to take home the gold, probably towards the back end of the year. The other competitors are all well priced if you fancy a flutter (Zayn and Nakamura at 5/1, Styles and Owens at 7/1, Ziggler at 18/1) but expect to be disappointed.

If you want something a little different, the betting firm are also offering odds on what star rating the match receive from Dave Meltzer in the Wrestling Observer Newsletter. Meltzer rating the bout over 4* is 4/7, while going full boat at 5* is 7/1. The same bet is available for the women’s MITB match, with prices at 10/11 (4*+) and 10/1 (5*).

The bookies are also predicting a surprise outcome in the womens ladder match, placing Carmella in pole position at 5/6. With James Ellsworth almost certain to interfere on her behalf, we can believe that result will happen. However, like Corbin, Carmella is far from the finished product and has some way to go before being able to rival the likes of Charlotte, Sasha Banks, and Asuka in terms of in-ring talent. But that doesn’t matter; WWE is not looking for a long term cash-in storyline, they are simply looking for a challenger to work with Naomi, before the title eventually goes to expected long-term holder Charlotte. That being said, this is still anyone’s game. While Becky Lynch at 7/2 seems a little short, Charlotte at 5/1 and Natalya at 8/1 offer good value. Tamina at 12/1 may as well be 100/1 – she is never going to win this.

In the other two title matches, the tag belts and the women’s strap, the bookmakers cannot separate champions the Usos and challengers New Day, both of whom are 5/6 and represent no value at all for a bet. In the women’s title match, champion Naomi is 1/4 on, the most favoured on the entire show, with challenger Lana at 5/2. If WWE can put their main title on Jinder Mahal then they are willing to do anything, but we still don’t expect the limited Lana to walk away as the flag bearer for what is generally a strong women’s division on SmackDown Live.


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