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Extreme Rules Odds And Predictions

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Universal Title Number One Contenders Match
Seth Rollins vs. Samoa Joe vs. Finn Balor vs. Bray Wyatt vs. Roman Reigns

Rollins – evens
Joe – 5/4
Balor – 7/1
Wyatt – 14/1
Reigns 25/1

Analysis: The smart money appears to be in on this match, with the odds swinging significantly in favour of Rollins, who was previously at 7/1. He is now at even money, so while not the odds on favourite, he is the front-runner. A £10 bet on Rollins would see a return of double the investment. That seems like a safe bet. Defeat to Reigns on Raw suggested he would pick up the victory here, such is the way WWE book. Joe and Balor are possibilities but it seems unlikely that WWE will have either man do a one-and-done with Lesnar, which is what the Great Balls of Fire spot is (Lesnar is working with Strowman at SummerSlam). It definitely will not be Reigns, who is being saved for a clash with Brock at WrestleMania 34.
Prediction: Go with Rollins in this one, but be aware that while likely, it is a not a sure thing.

 

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WWE Intercontinental Championship
Dean Ambrose (c) vs. The Miz

Miz – 1/2
Ambrose – 6/4

Analysis: The stipulation of this match is that Ambrose can lose the title via a DQ, which feels like a stipulation designed to get the belt from him without hurting his stock. Miz is a far better IC champion than Ambrose, who has carried the belt for six months without elevating its status any. Miz, on the other hand, was a tremendous IC champion on SmackDown Live and increased the prestige of the title with the way he carried himself. While Miz is the marginal favourite at the moment, the smart money has not come through yet; we expect these odds to change dramatically in favour of Miz. Back him while there is still value.
Prediction: The Miz. As close to a certainty as anything on this card gets.

 

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Kendo Stick On A Pole Match
WWE RAW Women’s Championship
Alexa Bliss (c) vs. Bayley

Bliss – 2/7
Bayley – 5/2

Analysis: The build up to this match started out well enough – Bliss repeatedly smashed Bayley with a kendo stick to tie in with the stipulation of the match. Then came last weeks interminable segment on Raw, perhaps the worst of the year, which has killed all momentum the rivalry had. Bliss has battered Bayley each week in the lead up to the match, so we expect Bayley to be the first to retrieve the kendo stick, but Bliss will emerge victorious regardless. Bayley is such a damaged character at the moment while Bliss is on a roll; there is no reason for WWE to take the title off her yet.
Prediction: Back Bliss all the way.

 

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Steel Cage Match
WWE RAW Tag Team Championship

The Hardy Boyz (c) vs. Cesaro & Sheamus

Cesaro/Sheamus – 1/5
Hardy Boyz – 10/3

Analysis: It is clear that WWE has plans for the Hardy Boyz that extend beyond the tag team division, which is a waste of their collective talents. After all, Matt Hardy was the hottest property on the independent scene in 2016, and Jeff Hardy is a former multi-time WWE Champion. No offence to the rest of the teams in the division, but the Hardys are way out of their league. The steel cage stipulation guarantees silliness from Jeff, and no doubt some freakish display for strength from Cesaro. The outcome is in little doubt either: the now fully ‘bad’ Cesaro and Sheamus will emerge on top here, though where they go next is anyone’s guess. Fans are no doubt hoping for Matt to get “broken” in this match, but with Anthem negotiations seemingly still ongoing, it appears unlikely.
Prediction: Cesaro & Sheamus. However, the Hardys may be worth a flutter if you feel WWE has done any long-term planning in this division. If they have then Hardys-Revival seems more logical than Sheamus/Cesaro against the ‘top guys’.

 

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Submission Match
WWE Cruiserweight Championship
Neville (c) vs. Austin Aries

Neville – 1/5
Aries – 10/3

Analysis: Neville, like Bliss, has no reason to drop the title. He has been a superb cruiserweight champion, demonstrating previously unseen levels of charisma and taking to the role of self-righteous asshole like a duck to water. The submission stipulation is designed as a red herring to make it seem that Aries will win, but the ‘King of the Cruiserweights’ will find a route to victory. Losing the title at this stage hurts his character too much.
Verdict: Neville should take this. WWE are notoriously scatterbrained and clearly don’t care about this division as much as everything else on the card, so they could execute a title switch just for the sake of it, but we don’t think they will.

 

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Mixed Tag Team Match
Sasha Banks & Rich Swann vs. Alicia Fox & Noam Dar

Fox/Dar – 4/7
Banks/Swann – 5/4

Analysis: The least important match on the show, and perhaps the toughest to call because of that. The competitors in this match have traded wins back and forth in recent weeks in typical WWE 50-50 fashion, so it all comes down to who WWE sees more value in. Dar and Fox are entertaining as a unit whereas Banks and Swann are just thrown together for the sake of this match. Still, WWE are high on Banks and clearly want to turn her heel to work a program with Bayley sooner rather than later, so to keep her relevant we can see her picking up the win in this one.
Prediction: It’s a crapshoot, but we think Sasha & Swann are the most likely to have their hands raised. If doing an acca, this will be the match that kills it, so put on two and change the outcome of this match on each.

 

£10 accumulator picking Miz, Neville, Swann & Banks, Rollins, Cesaro & Sheamus and Bliss returns £124.97

 

All odds taken from SkyBet

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