Backlash Betting Odds And Predictions
If you live in the UK you may enjoy the occasional flutter on the outcome of WWE pay-per-views, especially given how predictable and formulaic they tend to be these days. With that in mind, here are the updated betting odds for Sunday’s SmackDown Live pay-per-view Backlash:
Randy Orton (c) vs. Jinder Mahal
Randy Orton 1/4 (was 1/6)
Jinder Mahal 5/2 (was 7/2)
Prediction: It’s perhaps the most surprising pay-per-view main event match-up in over a decade, yet the odds do not strongly reflect the two competitors’ respective typical standings on the roster. Ordinarily Randy Orton would be the white-hot favourite to destroy Mahal, yet that is not the case. While still the favourite,’The Viper’ has actually seen his odds come in over the past couple of days. This suggests that either a lot of money has come in on outsider Mahal, or the bookies have had a change of heart. With WWE looking to expand into the lucrative Indian market we think Mahal is a good price at 5/2 and worth a £10 bet (which would return £35).
WWE United States Championship
Kevin Owens (c) vs. AJ Styles
AJ Styles 8/11
Kevin Owens evens
Prediction: The odds have not changed on this match at all, and they are fairly close to begin with, suggesting the bookies are finding it tough to call. Styles is the slight favourite, though with Owens only recently trading the title with Chris Jericho, we feel another switch is unlikely. Tread carefully on this one, as the odds do not offer any value and it is perhaps the most difficult match on the card to predict.
WWE SmackDown Tag Team Championship
The Usos (c) vs. Breezango
The Usos 4/7 (was 4/6)
Breezango 6/5 (was 11/10)
Prediction: The price of the Usos has come in, which means they are even more favoured today than when the odds were first published. Breezango are a low level comedy act and not worth challengers to the tag straps, they are placeholder challengers until New Day return. The Usos will likely win here, but again the poor odds do not warrant a bet.
Shinsuke Nakamura vs. Dolph Ziggler
Shinsuke Nakamura 1/7 (was 4/11)
Dolph Ziggler 4/1 (was 15/8)
Prediction: As much as WWE enjoy trolling their audience, there is no way Nakamura is losing on his main roster debut. One quick glance at the SmackDown Live homepage on WWE.com shows that Nakamura is considered by WWE as one of the show’s top stars. There is no justifiable reason for perennial midcard act Ziggler to beat him. The 4/1 odds (£50 return on a £10 bet) may seem tempting, but that bet is highly unlikely to reap any reward. If the odds go out further prior to the final hour or so before the show starts then bet a “daft pound”, but otherwise avoid this match.
Naomi, Charlotte Flair & Becky Lynch vs. Natalya, Carmella & Tamina
Naomi/Charlotte/Lynch 4/7 (was 4/9)
Natalya/Carmella/Tamina 5/4 (was 13/8)
Prediction: The babyface team are the slight favourites here, though we feel the bookies have got this one wrong. Naomi is the Women’s Champion, so a win for any of the heels over her would set up a program for the title. WWE historically beats its champions in multi-person matches or bouts where the belt is not on the line, so go with formula and back Natalya’s team. The odds are not great, especially since they have come in over the past couple of days, though a £10 bet still more than doubles your investment with a return of £22.50.
Baron Corbin vs. Sami Zayn
Baron Corin 2/5 (was 4/7)
Sami Zayn 7/4 (was 5/4)
Prediction: The odds reflect what will happen here, as Corbin is clearly in WWE’s future plans while Zayn is floundering in midcard obscurity and generally treated like a joke. The price makes this a wasted bet unless you can get it as part of an accumulator. However, if you have plenty of money to risk for little potential return, Corbin is probably the safest bet on the show.
Luke Harper vs. Erick Rowan
Luke Harper 8/15 (was 4/6)
Erick Rowan 11/8 (was 11/10)
Prediction: Rowan defeated Harper on TV recently so 50-50 booking suggests that Harper will get his retribution at Backlash. Once again, the price is poor and barely worth your time unless you can get an accumulator. If there was any match where WWE would look to buck the predictability of the show then it would perhaps be this one. Harper vs. Rowan can last for months, so they may look to give Rowan a credibility-improving pay-per-view win, but we doubt it.
If you can get an acca using our predictions (Mahal, Styles, Usos, Nakamura, Heel Women, Corbin, Harper), the return would be £524.40 from a £10 bet.
Please remember to bet responsibly, and make sure to keep a close eye on the odds in the final few hours before the show.